Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.001041 1.184309e-03 0.001328 0.001483 0.001644 0.001806 0.001982
2025-12-14 0.000791 9.952728e-04 0.001207 0.001441 0.001690 0.001946 0.002228
2025-12-21 0.000641 8.921925e-04 0.001161 0.001465 0.001795 0.002139 0.002523
2025-12-28 0.000481 7.602595e-04 0.001071 0.001432 0.001831 0.002253 0.002728
2026-01-04 0.000370 6.716291e-04 0.001020 0.001434 0.001899 0.002396 0.002961
2026-01-11 0.000269 5.818965e-04 0.000959 0.001419 0.001943 0.002510 0.003158
2026-01-18 0.000189 5.053365e-04 0.000907 0.001408 0.001987 0.002619 0.003348
2026-01-25 0.000103 4.037760e-04 0.000815 0.001344 0.001967 0.002654 0.003452
2026-02-01 0.000052 3.365039e-04 0.000759 0.001319 0.001987 0.002731 0.003600
2026-02-08 0.000022 2.921203e-04 0.000729 0.001321 0.002037 0.002839 0.003780
2026-02-15 0.000005 2.584112e-04 0.000710 0.001335 0.002098 0.002958 0.003971
2026-02-22 NaN 2.348753e-04 0.000702 0.001362 0.002173 0.003092 0.004176
2026-03-01 NaN 1.804875e-04 0.000655 0.001352 0.002223 0.003217 0.004397
2026-03-08 NaN 1.217190e-04 0.000592 0.001317 0.002244 0.003311 0.004584
2026-03-15 NaN 9.438160e-05 0.000575 0.001345 0.002339 0.003490 0.004870
2026-03-22 NaN 5.290680e-05 0.000519 0.001315 0.002362 0.003586 0.005059
2026-03-29 NaN 2.938692e-05 0.000490 0.001319 0.002425 0.003726 0.005299
2026-04-05 NaN 9.276688e-06 0.000450 0.001305 0.002465 0.003838 0.005504
2026-04-12 NaN 1.953378e-08 0.000415 0.001295 0.002507 0.003951 0.005711
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000350 0.001234 0.002481 0.003982 0.005820
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000311 0.001210 0.002501 0.004066 0.005989
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000290 0.001212 0.002554 0.004188 0.006202
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000277 0.001226 0.002621 0.004326 0.006432